Monday, January 27, 2014

All surveys are kind of research within the social sciences, but the market and the political-elect


The surveys man v food nashville will always be a useful reference tool for the public press, the problem is not the polls but pollsters, ethics and prestige. There are for common man v food nashville use at least three types of surveys, the type of research in the social sciences, the market, and policy-election.
All surveys are kind of research within the social sciences, but the market and the political-electoral serve two purposes, to have a picture of what is happening and decisively influence both the economic market and the market man v food nashville election.
In the case of political-electoral surveys also there are two dimensions of impact: 1. Get as possible and 2 real data. Satisfy their customers, which passes man v food nashville or favorable results or related recommendations to refocus campaign action to achieve the goal: winning elections. From all this between polls and election pollsters in our country, without neglecting the variety in the quality of the study design and data collection.
The overview is an essential element for being a true reflection man v food nashville of how the photograph depicting a survey was taken, if the "picture" will take "dive" the image will come out with a view to giant size, but if you take " front "will show the most real object sample proportionalities all depends on where the photographer is placed. man v food nashville Number of Respondents, territorial distribution of the sample, social stratification, inter alia, will be critical, in addition to the questionnaire design, question man v food nashville types and training of interviewers and why the survey is carried out via: telephone or field. Taking a smaller margin of error the field or mixed before the telephone, although the latter, having a rigorous validation and filtering method can be just as efficient.
However, I believe man v food nashville that the key element to evaluate a survey is the ethical path and level of commitment scientist who develops it. Each interviewer, each time you publish results of recent studies put its credibility and prestige, and that rarely is priceless in the case of professionals in the area.
All this introduction aims to advance the conditions under which you should judge the recent results published by the pollsters, some pollsters with clearly defined for and against any of the candidates polarized man v food nashville ideological positions do not deserve me disqualification of any a priori , but I think important to you, who read me, to conduct a comprehensive monitoring man v food nashville of the effectiveness studies.
According to a study recently presented by Viewer 360 º Consultants, at a forum by Ecoanalítica March 22, to date May polls, a highly recognized, others with long history and some little known, they have a gap in favor of President Chavez between 28 and 33.1%. But that day in the afternoon another came new polling figures giving a "technical draw by sampling error", but 1 point for President Chavez man v food nashville
56.5%
46%
From 6 polls, if the election man v food nashville were held today Chávez would win. None of the studies published man v food nashville in March concrete possibility to give victory to opposition candidate, despite being in this campaign while President Chavez man v food nashville is recovering from his convalescence. In a year of averaging the gap between President Chavez and Capriles, based on existing studies to date, this is in favor of the first, 25.98%, including the result of 21 Consultants. Yet the result of a lack pollster seventh with a clear interest for the candidate Capriles, but betting on its seriousness, should give a favorable outcome to the candidate Chavez is in the proportion that is.
Polls are not elections, man v food nashville but missing six months, the general man v food nashville trend of studies man v food nashville without exception winner to give Hugo Chavez, a candidate who has not yet started his campaign. Triumphalism is a latent problem that can paralyze actions needed to realize man v food nashville the win. It will be crucial for the consolidation of these results: 1. The evolution of the health of the candidate Chávez. Two. The fact it does not happen any high impact before 7-O.
In this sense, it is clear the necessary reflection sector opposition not only on their candidate but on the general proposal, seeking to avoid the more extreme end opposition sectors dominate electoral political scene to generate scenarios of destabilization push again "some made of high impact to

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